Tracking the funded status of pension plans as at January 31, 2018

This graph shows the changes in the financial position of a typical defined benefit plan with an average duration since December 31, 2017. For this illustration, assets and liabilities of the plan were each arbitrarily set at $100 million as at December 31, 2017. The estimate of the solvency liabilities reflects the new CIA guidance for valuations effective December 31, 2017 or later. The following graph shows the impact of three typical portfolios on plan assets and the effect of interest rate changes on solvency liabilities of medium duration.

The evolution of the financial situation of pension plans since December 31, 2017

The evolution of the financial situation of pension plans since December 31, 2017

During the month of January, Canadian universe bonds, Canadian long-term bonds, Canadian long-term provincial bonds and Canadian equity markets showed negative returns, while alternative investments and global equity markets (CAD) showed positive returns. With a return of 0.6%, the highly diversified portfolio (HD) outperformed the 60/40 portfolio (0.2%) and the low volatility portfolio (LDI1) (-0.4%). The relative outperformance of the HD portfolio is mainly due to its larger allocation to alternative investments. The prescribed CIA annuity purchase rates and the commuted value rates used in the calculation of solvency liabilities increased during the month. As a result, the solvency liabilities decreased by 0.6% for a medium duration plan. For this type of plan, an investment in the 60/40, LDI portfolio or the HD portfolio resulted in a slight increase of the solvency ratio.

Evolution of the solvency ratio as at January 31, 2018 for three different portfoliosportfolio

The table shows the impact of past returns on plan assets and the effect of interest rate changes on solvency liabilities of a medium duration plan, based on the plan’s initial solvency ratio as at December 31, 2017 as well as the asset allocation of the three typical portfolios.

Please contact your Morneau Shepell consultant for a customized analysis of your pension plan.


Comments

  1. No consideration has been made for contributions paid to the plan or for benefits paid out of the plan.
  2. Solvency liabilities are projected using the rates prescribed by the Canadian Institute of Actuaries (CIA) for the purpose of determining pension commuted values.
  3. The underlying typical defined benefit plan is a final average plan with no pension indexing, including active and inactive participants representing 60% and 40% of liabilities, respectively.
  4. Assets are shown at full market value. Returns on assets are based on three typical benchmark portfolios.

1  Liability driven investment


News & Views - February 2018 (PDF)